- Decision
- Maintain
- Rate change
- 0 bps
- Overnight policy rate
- 0.25%
The Board of the Reserve Bank of Fiji on 26 June 2025 left the Overnight Policy Rate unchanged at 0.25 percent, judging that its dual objectives remain on track as annual inflation cooled to 0.1 percent in May, chiefly on lower food and fuel prices, while foreign reserves held at FJD 3.7 billion, covering 5.8 months of imports and expected to stay adequate. The OPR has been steady at 0.25 percent across all meetings so far in 2025. System liquidity was a comfortable FJD 2.1 billion on 24 June, with low lending rates supporting a 9.6 percent rise in private-sector credit in May. Domestically, the Bank still projects 3.2 percent GDP growth for 2025, backed by resilient consumption and improving resource-based sectors, although visitor arrivals grew 4.4 percent year on year in May after a 1.0 percent fall for the January–May period. Externally, reserves adequacy underpins the currency stance, while the Bank highlighted that persistent trade and geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, could lift global fuel prices and weigh on growth. The central bank said it will keep watching domestic and international developments and adjust policy as needed to safeguard price stability and reserves.
Rate evolution
From June 2025 to September 2026, the Reserve Bank of Fiji kept the Overnight Policy Rate at 0.25%, maintaining support for economic activity. The holds through early 2026 reflected subdued inflation and adequate foreign reserves amid firm demand, and in February the Reserve Bank judged the rate appropriate as January headline inflation fell to -2.5% and core inflation stayed near 0.8%, while forecasting year-end headline inflation at 2.5%-3.0% and flagging risks from trade and Middle East tensions, commodity prices, electricity tariffs, elections, tourism demand and cyclone shocks.
By 25 June, the Board again held the rate as it balanced rising domestic prices, adequate foreign reserves and support for activity, noting that headline inflation had reached 3.9% and was expected at about 6.0% by year-end, while higher global fuel prices dampened travel demand and prompted a cut in the 2026 growth forecast to 1.5% from 3.0%. On 30 July, it maintained the rate as activity slowed and import costs lifted inflation to 6.1% in June, and on 27 August it held again to support activity and adequate reserves amid supply-driven inflation, which eased to 5.7% in July but was expected to remain elevated due to global fuel and freight costs.
On 24 September, the Board again held the rate, balancing heightened inflationary pressure driven largely by external factors with support for growth amid weakening conditions, as headline inflation rose to 7.6% in August from 5.7% in July on higher food, energy and kava prices and the fading effect of the August 2025 value-added tax rate reduction. Inflation was expected to remain above 6.0% through year-end amid volatile global commodity prices and weather risks from the developing El Niño event, while reserves of around FJD 3.9 billion covered 5.5 months of retained imports and economic activity tracked expectations on tourism, consumer spending and construction.