Decision
Lower
Rate change
25 bps
base rate
5.5%

The Monetary Council of the National Bank of Hungary cut the central bank base rate by 25 basis points to 5.50%, effective 26 August 2026. Over the past year, it held the rate at 6.50% through January, cut it by 25 basis points in February, held through May and delivered three further 25-basis-point cuts from June through August. The overnight central bank deposit rate fell to 4.50% and the overnight collateralised loan rate to 6.50%, maintaining a corridor of 1 percentage point below and above the base rate.

Rate evolution

From May 2025 to September 2026, the National Bank of Hungary lowered the central bank base rate by 100 basis points to 5.50%, holding it at 6.50% for most of the period before a February 2026 cut, a pause through May, 25-basis-point reductions in June, July and August, and a hold in September. The long hold reflected inflation above the tolerance band, persistent market services and core pressures, strong corporate repricing, high household inflation expectations and a desire to preserve tight conditions amid tariff, trade and geopolitical tensions, while growth stayed weak outside consumption. Through late 2025, the Monetary Council saw mostly upside risks to inflation and downside risks to growth, but by December and January it judged the inflation outlook balanced as disinflation broadened and the stronger HUF improved costs, despite uncertainty over start-of-year repricing and price restrictions.

After cutting in February because favourable underlying inflation and stable financial markets allowed it, the National Bank of Hungary held the central bank base rate at 6.25% from March to May as Iran-related energy shocks and global uncertainty revived upside inflation risks, even as inflation moved near the lower bound of the tolerance band. It then cut the rate to 6.00% on 23 June as the June forecast showed a significantly improved inflation outlook and balanced inflation risks, before reducing it to 5.75% on 21 July after June inflation fell to 1.7% and core inflation held at 2.0%, below the forecast, while slower food price growth and a persistently lower risk premium on domestic assets preserved room to manoeuvre despite escalating USA-Iran tensions and higher oil and European gas prices. The Monetary Council cut the central bank base rate by a further 25 basis points to 5.50%, effective from 26 August, and held it at that level at its 22 September meeting.

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