On 23 February 2026 the Bank of Israel Monetary Committee kept the policy rate at 4.00 %, arguing that annual inflation has eased to 1.8 %—around the midpoint of the 1–3 % target range—while output and employment remain robust but geopolitical risks linked to a potential confrontation with Iran have risen. The decision follows a cumulative 50 bp rate reduction since November 2025. Fourth-quarter 2025 GDP grew by an annualised 4 %, above trend, and the labour market stayed tight with a high vacancies-to-unemployed ratio as supply constraints persisted; rents in new and renewed contracts accelerated to 3.8 % and home prices have started to rise again. Since the previous meeting the shekel has appreciated 1.1 % against the USD and 0.4 % versus the euro, while Israel’s CDS and hard-currency sovereign spreads widened slightly. Globally, economic activity and trade continue to expand and inflation is moderating, though Brent crude prices have risen roughly 16 % amid US–Iran tensions, and major central banks have held rates steady. The Committee reaffirmed that the policy path will hinge on inflation dynamics, economic performance, geopolitical developments and fiscal conditions.