The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland has published new research estimating that banks’ indirect exposure to business lending through nonbank lenders remains limited relative to banks’ direct business loan holdings. The analysis estimates that 6.1 percent of all business loans in 2024 were made by nonbank lenders but indirectly funded by banks, a share that has largely stayed in the 5 percent to 6 percent range over the past 20 years. The research says that range can be viewed as an upper bound of the risk nonbank business lending poses to banks because banks typically finance nonbank lenders with debt, which is repaid before equity investors. It also traces the longer-term shift in business lending away from banks and toward nonbanks: banks’ direct share of business lending fell to 47.1 percent in 2024 from 56.7 percent in 1980, while nonbank lenders’ share rose to 37.4 percent from 28.8 percent.