The National Bank of Hungary published its Housing Market Report, describing an upturn in housing market demand at the beginning of 2025 supported mainly by household savings, alongside a sharp acceleration in house prices and a strong increase in housing loan disbursements. In 2025 Q1, nationwide transaction numbers exceeded the long-term average, driven largely by higher turnover in rural areas, while limited supply and strong demand meant 8.3% of sales closed above the advertised price nationwide and 18% in Budapest. House prices rose 15.1% year on year in 2024 Q4 (10.9% in real terms), with preliminary data showing 2025 Q1 annual growth of 15.0% nationwide and 19.2% in Budapest; the central bank estimates prices were 14.3% above levels justified by fundamentals, though it notes financial stability risks are mitigated by typically low loan-to-value ratios on outstanding mortgages. Housing loan disbursements rose 91% year on year in 2024 Q4, mainly reflecting higher contract sizes, with average market-based loan sizes reaching HUF 20 million for used homes and HUF 27 million for new home purchase or construction by February 2025; average APRs were broadly unchanged at 6.7%, and affordability deteriorated as prices outpaced incomes. On the supply side, building permits issued in 2024 were 27% lower than in 2023, vacant new homes in Budapest fell 11% year on year, and average new-build prices in the capital rose to HUF 1.68 million per square metre by end-2025 Q1.
2025-05-27National Bank of Hungary
National Bank of Hungary Housing Market Report finds rising house price overvaluation as demand and mortgage lending strengthen
The National Bank of Hungary's Housing Market Report highlights a surge in housing demand in early 2025, driven by household savings, with house prices rising 15.0% nationwide and 19.2% in Budapest. Despite a 91% increase in housing loan disbursements in 2024 Q4, financial stability risks are mitigated by low loan-to-value ratios. However, affordability has worsened as prices outpace incomes, and building permits fell 27% in 2024 from 2023.