The Monetary Policy Committee of the National Bank of Georgia (NBG) left the refinancing rate at 8.0 percent on 11 February 2026, judging that a “moderately tight” stance remains appropriate as headline inflation of 4.8 percent in January—driven mainly by higher global food and other commodity prices and some domestic one-offs—should start easing, while core inflation at 2.1 percent points to anchored expectations and demand pressures are abating. The rate has been held at 8 percent since at least January 2025. The NBG projects inflation to average 3.7 percent in 2026 and to converge to the 3 percent target from the second quarter, alongside GDP growth slowing toward its long-term rate at a projected 5 percent and credit activity remaining near equilibrium. External price shocks, especially from any escalation in global geopolitics, pose the main upside risk, while a weaker US dollar and lower oil prices could pull inflation down. The Committee reiterated that further policy moves will depend on incoming data; it will only begin easing once one-off factors fade and stands ready to maintain or tighten the stance should inflation prove more persistent.