Bank of Indonesia published its latest Retail Sales Survey indicating retailers expect retail sales to maintain year-on-year growth in August 2025, with the Real Sales Index (RSI) projected to rise 2.7% (yoy) and the month-on-month contraction seen as easing to 0.3% (mtm). Spare Parts and Accessories, Automotive Fuel, and Cultural and Recreational Goods were identified as the main contributors to expected August growth. For July 2025, the survey reported RSI growth accelerated to 4.7% (yoy) from 1.3% in June, while retail sales contracted 4.1% (mtm), attributed to the end of the collective leave period for religious holidays and school holidays. On prices, respondents anticipated stable inflationary pressures over the next three months to October 2025, with the Price Expectations Index (PEI) broadly unchanged at 134.8 versus 134.7 previously, followed by higher price pressures over the next six months to January 2026 as the PEI increased to 169.3 from 163.4.
Bank of Indonesia 2025-09-11
Bank of Indonesia reports retailers expect August 2025 sales growth to hold at 2.7% year on year with easing monthly contraction
Bank of Indonesia's latest Retail Sales Survey forecasts a 2.7% year-on-year rise in the Real Sales Index (RSI) for August 2025, with a month-on-month contraction easing to 0.3%. Key growth contributors include Spare Parts and Accessories, Automotive Fuel, and Cultural and Recreational Goods. Inflationary pressures are expected to remain stable until October 2025, with an increase anticipated by January 2026.